ECOSYS-87: A Dynamic Model for Assessing Radiological Consequences of Nuclear Accidents

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Abstract

The time-dependent radioecological simulation model ECOSYS-87 has been developed to assess the radiological consequences of short-term depositions of radionuclides. Internal exposure via inhalation and ingestion, as well as external exposure from the passing cloud and from radioactivity deposited on the ground, are included in the model. The site-specific parameter values of the model are representative of Southern German agricultural conditions; however, the model design facilitates adaption to other situations. The ingestion dose is calculated as a function of time considering 18 plant species, 11 animal food products, and 18 processed products. The ingestion and inhalation exposure is estimated for six age groups using age-dependent consumption and inhalation rates and age-dependent dose factors. Results demonstrate a pronounced influence regarding the time of year (season) of deposition on the ingestion dose and on the relative importance of the exposure pathways. Model results compare well with activities in foods measured after the Chernobyl accident.

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