Forecasting spring from afar? Timing of migration and predictability of phenology along different migration routes of an avian herbivore

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This article compares spring migration timing of three barnacle geese populations using GPS tracks. The geese were not strictly following, but overtaking the green wave. Predictability of onset of spring differed with presence or absence of ecological barriers, geese arriving at stopovers close to the onset of spring at high predictability.

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