Are psychotherapeutic changes predictable? Comparison of a Chicago counseling center project with a Penn psychotherapy project

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Results of 2 large-scale studies predicting the outcomes of psychotherapy were similarly analyzed and compared. The level of prediction success in both projects was modest, at best accounting for 5-20% of the variance of outcome, i.e., within groups of patients who started psychotherapy, this kind of prediction could not be done well. However, for the modest level that could be predicted, particularly for the Rated Benefits score, the profile of variables showed similar levels of success between Penn and the Chicago psychotherapy projects. The most successful of these predictions were based on (a) the adequacy of personality functioning, (b) the match on marital status, and (c) the length of treatment. (17 ref) (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2006 APA, all rights reserved)

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