Regression Analyses of NCAA Division I Final Four Men's Lacrosse Competition

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Abstract

ABSTRACT

The 1987–91 NCAA Division I Final Four men's lacrosse contests (n = 15) were analyzed via forward stepwise logistic regression to identify a hierarchy of winning (W) versus losing (L) outcome determinants: Goals and Save% were primary determinants, assists were secondary, and GB%, score%, and shotsG were tertiary. A hierarchy of goal and save% predictors were identified via stepwise multiple regression procedures: assists, score%, save, and shotsG were primary goal predictors; GBS, EMO%, and tMDD were secondary; and shotsA, FOS, GB%, and EMOS were tertiary. Saves and assistsOP were primary save% predictors, and EMO, GB, and EMO were secondary. The 1991 tournament contests (n = 3) were videotaped and analyzed for attack, FB, twork, tattack, and ttransition trends. W and L tattack were similar to one another as well as to twork, indicating that attack/defense and midfield conditioning drills should be of similar duration based on these criteria. A hypothetical midfield shift profile is proposed, based on twork frequency distribution.

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